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![]() ![]() Brazil Economy 1999
Economyoverview: Possessing large and well-developed agricultural, mining, manufacturing, and service sectors, Brazil's economy outweighs that of all other South American countries and is expanding its presence in world markets. Prior to the institution of a stabilization planthe Plano Real (Real Plan) in mid-1994, stratospheric inflation rates had disrupted economic activity and discouraged foreign investment. Since then, tight monetary policy has brought inflation under controlconsumer prices increased by 2% in 1998 compared to more than 1,000% in 1994. At the same time, GDP growth slowed from 5.7% in 1994 to about 3.0% in 1997 due to tighter credit. The Real Plan faced its strongest challenge in 1998, as the world financial crisis caused investors to more closely examine the country's structural weaknesses. The most severe spillover for Brazilafter Russia's debt default in August 1998created unrelenting pressure on the currency which forced the country to hike annual interest rates to 50%. Approximately $30 billion in capital left the country in August and September. After crafting a fiscal adjustment program and pledging progress on structural reform, Brazil received a $41.5 billion IMF-led international support program in November 1998. Capital continued to leach out of the country, and investors, concerned about the rising mountain of debt and currency widely-viewed as overvalued, stayed on the sidelines. In January 1999, Brazil made an abrupt shift of course in exchange rate policy, abandoning the strong currency anti-inflation anchor of the Real Plan. On 13 January 1999, Central Bank officials announced a one-time 8% devaluation of the real, and on 15 January 1999, the currency was declared to be freely floating. President CARDOSO remains committed to limiting inflation and weathering the financial crisis through austerity and sacrifice as the country rides out a deep recession. He hopes the country will resume economic growth in the second half of 1999, so that he can once again focus on his longer-term goal of reducing poverty and income inequality. CARDOSO still hopes to address mandated revenue sharing with the states and cumbersome procedures to amend the constitution before the end of his second term. GDP: purchasing power parity$1.0352 trillion (1998 est.) GDPreal growth rate: 0.5% (1998) GDPper capita: purchasing power parity$6,100 (1998 est.)
GDPcomposition by sector:
Population below poverty line: 17.4% (1990 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage share:
Inflation rate (consumer prices): 2% (1998) Labor force: 57 million (1989 est.) Labor forceby occupation: services 42%, agriculture 31%, industry 27% Unemployment rate: 8.5% (1998 est.)
Budget:
Industries: textiles, shoes, chemicals, cement, lumber, iron ore, tin, steel, aircraft, motor vehicles and parts, other machinery and equipment Industrial production growth rate: 4.5% (1997 est.) Electricityproduction: 291.63 billion kWh (1997)
Electricityproduction by source:
Electricityconsumption: 323.215 billion kWh (1996) Electricityexports: 8 million kWh (1996)
Electricityimports:
37.5 billion kWh (1996)
Agricultureproducts: coffee, soybeans, wheat, rice, corn, sugarcane, cocoa, citrus; beef Exports: $51 billion (f.o.b., 1998) Exportscommodities: iron ore, soybean bran, orange juice, footwear, coffee, motor vehicle parts Exportspartners: EU 28%, Latin America (excluding Argentina) 23%, US 20%, Argentina 12% (1996) Imports: $57.6 billion (f.o.b., 1998) Importscommodities: crude oil, capital goods, chemical products, foodstuffs, coal Importspartners: EU 26%, US 22%, Argentina 13%, Japan 5% (1996) Debtexternal: $258.1 billion (December 1998) Economic aidrecipient: $1.012 billion (1995) Currency: 1 real (R$) = 100 centavos
Exchange rates:
reals (R$) per US$11.501 (January 1999), 1.161 (1998), 1.078 (1997),
1.005 (1996), 0.918 (1995), 0.639 (1994); CR$ per US$1390.845 (January
1994)
Fiscal year: calendar year
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