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Vietnam Economy 1999
Economyoverview: Vietnam is a poor, densely populated country that has had to recover from the ravages of war, the loss of financial support from the old Soviet Bloc, and the rigidities of a centrally planned economy. Substantial progress has been achieved over the past 10 years in moving forward from an extremely low starting point, though the regional downturn is now limiting that progress. GDP growth of 8.5% in 1997 fell to 4% in 1998. These numbers masked some major difficulties that are emerging in economic performance. Many domestic industries, including coal, cement, steel, and paper, have reported large stockpiles of inventory and tough competition from more efficient foreign producers, giving Vietnam a trade deficit of $3.3 billion in 1997. While disbursements of aid and foreign direct investment have risen, they are not large enough to finance the rapid increase in imports; and it is widely believed that Vietnam may be using short-term trade credits to bridge the gapa risky strategy that could result in a foreign exchange crunch. Meanwhile, Vietnamese authorities continue to move slowly toward implementing the structural reforms needed to revitalize the economy and produce more competitive, export-driven industries. Privatization of state enterprises remains bogged down in political controversy, while the country's dynamic private sector is denied both financing and access to markets. Reform of the banking sector is proceeding slowly, raising concerns that the country will be unable to tap sufficient domestic savings to maintain current high levels of growth. Administrative and legal barriers are also causing costly delays for foreign investors and are raising similar doubts about Vietnam's ability to maintain the inflow of foreign capital. Ideological bias in favor of state intervention and control of the economy is slowing progress toward a more liberalized investment environment. GDP: purchasing power parity$134.8 billion (1998 est.) GDPreal growth rate: 4% (1998 est.) GDPper capita: purchasing power parity$1,770 (1998 est.)
GDPcomposition by sector:
Population below poverty line: 50.9% (1993 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage share:
Inflation rate (consumer prices): 9% (1998) Labor force: 32.7 million Labor forceby occupation: agriculture 65%, industry and services 35% (1990 est.) Unemployment rate: 25% (1995 est.)
Budget:
Industries: food processing, garments, shoes, machine building, mining, cement, chemical fertilizer, glass, tires, oil, coal, steel, paper Industrial production growth rate: 12% (1998 est.) Electricityproduction: 14.88 billion kWh (1996)
Electricityproduction by source:
Electricityconsumption: 14.88 billion kWh (1996) Electricityexports: 0 kWh (1996) Electricityimports: 0 kWh (1996) Agricultureproducts: paddy rice, corn, potatoes, rubber, soybeans, coffee, tea, bananas; poultry, pigs; fish Exports: $9.4 billion (f.o.b., 1998 est.) Exportscommodities: crude oil, marine products, rice, coffee, rubber, tea, garments, shoes Exportspartners: Japan, Germany, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, France, South Korea Imports: $11.4 billion (f.o.b., 1998 est.) Importscommodities: machinery and equipment, petroleum products, fertilizer, steel products, raw cotton, grain, cement, motorcycles Importspartners: Singapore, South Korea, Japan, France, Hong Kong, Taiwan Debtexternal: $7.3 billion Western countries; $4.5 billion CEMA debts primarily to Russia; $9 billion to $18 billion nonconvertible debt (former CEMA, Iraq, Iran) Economic aidrecipient: $2.2 billion in credits and grants pledged by international donors for 1999 Currency: 1 new dong (D) = 100 xu Exchange rates: new dong (D) per US$113,900 (December 1998), 11,100 (December 1996), 11,193 (1995 average), 11,000 (October 1994), 10,800 (November 1993), 8,100 (July 1991) Fiscal year: calendar year
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